HOW I SEE IT: Fuzzy math by FAIR on illegal immigration
Published: July 3, 2009
Updated: July 6, 2009
Tuesday’s front-page story “Illegal immigration costs Va. $625 per household” doesn’t fully explain the serious flaws in a recent report by the Federation for American Immigration Reform claiming that “Virginia’s illegal immigrant population costs the state’s taxpayers nearly $1.7 billion per year for education, medical care and incarceration.”
FAIR dramatically exaggerates the fiscal “costs” of unauthorized immigrants by including the schooling of their native-born, U.S.-citizen children in its estimate, and completely discounts the economic role that unauthorized workers play as consumers who support Virginia businesses.
More than 90 percent of FAIR’s cost estimate consists of K-12 education costs for the children of unauthorized immigrants — and nearly three-quarters of these children are U.S.-born U.S. citizens who have at least one unauthorized parent. These are children who will go on to become taxpaying “natives” when they are adult workers.
Indeed, the adult U.S.-born children of unauthorized immigrants are no doubt counted among the native-born taxpayers who FAIR says are being forced to pay for the education of minor U.S.-born children of unauthorized immigrants.
The fact is that everyone is “costly” as a child. The National Research Council pointed out in an authoritative 1997 report that “children who consume services and pay no taxes today become contributing taxpayers tomorrow.” Why? Because, “at the state and local level, an individual or a household typically first receives costly services and transfers, particularly for education, and then in a sense pays for them later in life through taxes.”
This applies to all of us, regardless of whether our families came to the United States on the Mayflower, through Ellis Island or across the Rio Grande.
The FAIR report acknowledges that accounting for the taxes paid by unauthorized immigrants shaves a couple hundred million dollars off its inflated cost estimate. But the report neglects to account for the consumer purchasing power of unauthorized immigrants —what they spend on goods, services and housing — which not only creates new jobs, but provides federal, state and local governments with additional tax revenue.
The Commonwealth Institute found that unauthorized immigrants in Virginia not only paid between $260 million and $311 million in sales, excise, income, property, Social Security and Medicare taxes in 2007, but that employers contributed an additional $119 million to $142 million in taxes on their behalf-for a total of between $379 million and $453 million.
The Commonwealth Institute also estimates that unauthorized workers earn between $2.6 billion and $3.1 billion (even after subtracting remittances sent back to their home countries), which are “used to purchase goods and services in the commonwealth.”
FAIR ignores the fact that unauthorized workers are also consumers, and that their U.S.-born children are not immigrants. Once these inconvenient truths are taken into account, FAIR’s “cost” evaporates.
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Reader Reactions
OK. Lets agree for a minute that illegal immigration is “wrong”. But even if something is wrong doesn’t mean you can use bogus, flawed reasoning to try to make your case that it is.. The FAIR argument was flawed math. If you want to convince anyone (anyone who cares about real math) you need to come up with something better.
Dear RJMA - Somehow you can read Walters’ article and not see that he supports illegal immigration? His entire point is that illegal immigration brings money into this country. Not once does he say illegal immigration is wrong.
Unfortunatly you and he are both wrong, illegal immigration costs this country a lot of money. But the real issue isn’t just about profit or costs, it is about respecting our immigration laws. Illegal drugs also bring money into the country, so that’s the overiding criteria for you and Walter, profits? We cannot pick-and-choose which laws we want to obey. And we don’t need to study it or debate it anymore. I think if you’re honest with yourself you would acknowledge that illegal immigration is harmful in all respects.
Scott- I don’t see where the the writer says he supports illegal immigration. But I do know how you fight it. You use legitimate math. Fair doesn’t. I’d think you’d care.
Hey Walter, we’re not impressed with your critique of FAIR’s estimates (no one really knows the actual costs anyway) because you’re missing the big picture. There’s at least 21M people in your country who aren’t supposed to be. And it’s more than the money issue, it is about principles.
The cost of the anchor baby program across the nation in itself makes your dispute about Virginia’s household costs seem so insignificant. Your foolish support for illegal immigration is the weakest position to try and defend.
I don’t see where Ewing says “leave them alone”. He does say that the Fair math is fuzzy, which it is. Actually “fuzzy” is being kind. “distorted” is more like it.
“no hyphens” makes a lot more sense then Walter Ewing. We’re supposed to leave the illegals alone because they are buying things in our stores? One of the stupidest things I ever read. And the “services” they are using is free Emergency Room, and 40 to a rental.
I’m sure you would like him/her better. Why bother with backing up what you say with reason when incendiary rhetoric is so much more satisfying for you.
Looks to me like “no hyphens” should be the one writing the editorals.
1. Illegals are….illegally here sucking benefits and resources.
2. Because they are here illegally, we really don’t know the exact numbers; but, there are millions too many.
3. They are going to receive another round of amnesty because too many politicians don’t have a backbone and, even worse, look at them as voters who will owe them their vote.
4. This has been a problem since the 70’s and our leaders have been too scared and weak to act upon the problem - so, we’re over-run still and again, the administrations do nothing.
5. Doesn’t matter how badly our taxes are drained to pay for their services, etc.—it will never change - we are stuck with it.


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